Riding the Pine…1 game preview

Rockies vs. Padres – 6:37 cst.
Josh Fogg (10-9, 4.79)/Jake Peavy (19-6, 2.36)

Team Vs. Team
Average:
Rockies – .279
Padres – .251

Runs:
Rockies – 851
Padres – 733

Hits:
Rockies – 1577
Padres – 1393

ERA:
Rockies – 4.31
Padres – 3.68

Hits Allowed:
Rockies – 1482
Padres – 1393

Opponents Average:
Rockies – .266
Padres – .249

This should be a good match up – a superior hitting team vs a superior pitching team. For the Rockies to win, they need to get to Peavy early and Fogg needs to keep the damage down. Since they are playing in San Diego, Fogg will see the benefit more than the offense will.

Inside the Numbers
Rockies
Fogg’s struggle against the Padres this year; he’s 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA in 3 starts. They have 24 hits, including 2 home runs, and have a .369 average against him. His one start this season in Petco Park resulted in a no decision.

Colorado’s outfield has been killer vs Peavy. Brad Hawpe is batting .429 with a homer, Matt Holliday is at .400 with a homer, while Cory Sullivan is also batting .400. At the opposite end, Kaz Matsui is a career .133 hitter, while teammate Troy Tulowitzki is still looking for his first hit off the pitcher.

Padres
Peavy is 0-0 in 2 starts this year against the Rockies. He limited them to 2 runs over 14 innings, while only giving up 8 hits. He had 11 strikeouts to 4 walks. At home this season, he is 9-5 with a 2.51 ERA in 125.1 innings.

Leading the hitters against Fogg are the Brothers Giles. Brian is hitting .450 career against him with 2 homers in 20 at bats. Younger brother Marcus is hitting .529 with 0 homers against the starter. Michael Barrett and Morgan Ensberg also hit Fogg well. Regulars Mike Cameron, Khalil Greene, and Adrian Gonzalez all are batting .250 or lower against Fogg.

Prediction
While the Padres hitting is inferior, they’ve done pretty well this year against Fogg. I expect to see them playing the Phillies.

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