Disclaimer
Here are the new and updated Baseball Rankings. Instead of just taking the record, pythagorean record, and farm system, I’ve given each part a weighed score:
– The Record accounts for half of the score. Since the standings are based of record, I thought it deserved more weight than the other parts.
– The Pythagorean Record is based off of Bill James theory that you can somewhat predict a team by runs scored and runs allowed. The Pythagorean Records accounts for a third of the score.
– The Farm System is worth a sixth of the scoring, since it will impact the team, but maybe not now.
– The Standard Deviation is 3 wins.
It’s still early in the season, but something are starting to correct themselves. All stats and records are prior to games on Tuesday.
Format
Team, Previous Ranking (rank up, down, same)
Record, Runs Scored, Runs Allowed, Minor League System Ranking (system up, down, same)
1. Oakland Athletics, 4th (+)
17-10, 134 RS, 94 RA, 1st System (=)
2. Chicago Cubs, 2nd (=)
16-9, 145 RS, 105 RA, 15th System (-)
3. Arizona Diamondbacks, 1st (-)
19-7, 153 RS, 96 RA, 24th System (-)
4. Tampa Bay Rays, 16th (+)
14-11, 118 RS, 101 RA, 3rd System (=)
5. St. Louis Cardinals, 5th (=)
16-11, 123 RS, 100 RA, 17th System (+)
6. Los Angeles Angels, 8th (+)
16-10, 132 RS, 128 RA, 10th System (=)
7. Chicago White Sox, 7th (=)
14-10, 127 RS, 98 RA, 29th System (+)
8. Atlanta Braves, 6th (-)
12-13, 124 RS, 98 RA, 4th System (+)
9. Boston Red Sox, 3rd (-)
15-12, 133 RS, 129 RA, 2nd System (=)
10. Florida Marlins, 9th (-)
15-10, 114 RS, 117 RA, 14th System (=)
11. Milwaukee Brewers, 10th (-)
14-11, 111 RS, 102 RA, 23th System (+)
12. Los Angeles Dodgers, 18th (+)
12-13, 117 RS, 100 RA, 13th System (=)
13. Baltimore Orioles, 11th (-)
14-11, 108 RS, 110 RA, 12th System (-)
14. New York Mets, 12th (-)
13-11, 113 RS, 101 RA, 28th System (=)
15. Philadelphia Phillies, 17th (+)
14-12, 124 RS, 114 RA, 22nd System (+)
16. New York Yankees, 15th (-)
14-13, 119 RS, 121 RA, 9th System (=)
17. Seattle Mariners, 13th (-)
12-14, 117 RS, 109 RA, 12th System (=)
18. Cleveland Indians, 26th (+)
12-14, 117 RS, 110 RA, 20th System (-)
19. Cincinnati Reds, 21st (+)
12-15, 120 RS, 127 RA, 6th System (=)
20. Minnesota Twins, 19th (-)
11-14, 95 RS, 118 RA, 7th System (=)
21. Houston Astros, 25th (+)
12-15, 118 RS, 120 RA, 30th System (-)
22. Toronto Blue Jays, 14th (-)
11-15, 115 RS, 109 RA, 27th System (=)
23. Colorado Rockies, 20th (-)
10-16, 109 RS, 139 RA, 8th System (=)
24. San Francisco Giants, 27th (+)
12-15, 88 RS, 126 RA, 17th System (-)
25. Detroit Tigers, 30th (+)
11-15, 130 RS, 142 RA, 25th System (=)
26. Kansas City Royals, 22nd (-)
11-14, 82 RS, 113 RA, 26th System (=)
27. Texas Rangers, 24th (-)
9-17, 114 RS, 159 RA, 5th System (-)
28. Pittsburgh Pirates, 28th (=)
10-15, 111 RS, 154 RA, 18th System (+)
29. Washington Nationals, 29nd (=)
9-17, 95 RS, 129 RA, 16th System (=)
30. San Diego Padres, 23rd (-)
10-16, 84 RS, 121 RA, 21st System (-)
Breakdown
The Tigers have finally started to come alive. They’ve moved out of the cellar for the first time this season, jumping up 5 spots. It just happens to coincide with Curtis Granderson coming off the DL.
The Diamondbacks have been knocked off the top of the heap. The Athletics, who many thought wouldn’t be in it after sending Dan Haren and Nick Swisher packing, took over the top spot. What really put them ahead was a 14-2 win over the Angels last night. Looks like Billy Beane still has it.
The highest jumpers this week were the Rays; they moved up 12 spots. This team looks pretty good, even without ace Scott Kazmir. He’ll be back soon, so this team will only get better. I do expect them to fall out of it as the season wears on (a la last years Brewers).
The biggest fallers were the Blue Jays falling 8 spots. Second was the Padres, who fell to the bottom of the list. MLB Trade Rumors thinks a fire sale could be on the way.
The underachievers for the week were the Braves and Blue Jays; both should have 3 additional wins based off run differential. The underachivers are the Angels, Marlins and Giants; all have 3 wins they shouldn’t.
The teams that are currently projected to break 100 wins based off current record:
1. Diamondbacks – 118
2. Cubs – 104
3. Athletics – 102
4. Angels – 100
The teams that are currently projected to break 100 wins based off their RS/RA:
1. Diamondbacks – 116
2. Athletics – 109
3. Cubs – 106
3. White Sox – 102
5. Braves – 100
[To figure the pythagorean record, ask me in the comments or use this formula:
(RS^2)/(RS^2 + RA^2)]
I’ll be back next Tuesday with the updated rankings.
