Disclaimer
Here are the new and updated Baseball Rankings. Instead of just taking the record, pythagorean record, and farm system, I’ve given each part a weighed score:
– The Record accounts for half of the score. Since the standings are based of record, I thought it deserved more weight than the other parts.
– The Pythagorean Record is based off of Bill James theory that you can somewhat predict a team by runs scored and runs allowed. The Pythagorean Records accounts for a third of the score.
– The Farm System is worth a sixth of the scoring, since it will impact the team, but maybe not now.
– The Standard Deviation is 3 wins.
All stats and records are prior to games on Tuesday. I’m going to start putting each teams score up; max score is 90 points.
Format
Team, Previous Ranking (rank up, down, same)
Points, Record, Runs Scored, Runs Allowed, Minor League System Ranking (system up, down, same)
1. Boston Red Sox, 3rd (+)
84.00 pts, 40-26, 334 RS, 279 RA, 4th System (=)
2. Chicago Cubs, 2nd (=)
78.50 pts, 40-24, 352 RS, 261 RA, 24th System (=)
3. Philadelphia Phillies, 4th (+)
77.50 pts, 39-26, 344 RS, 268 RA, 16th System (+)
4. Tampa Bay Rays, 1st (-)
76.00 pts, 38-26, 296 RS, 265 RA, 3rd System (=)
5. Oakland Athletics, 5th (=)
74.00 pts, 34-29, 283 RS, 237 RA, 1st System (=)
6. Chicago White Sox, 11th (+)
67.50 pts, 37-26, 305 RS, 235 RA, 29th System (=)
7. Los Angeles Angels, 6th (-)
66.50 pts, 39-26, 274 RS, 274 RA, 13th System (-)
8. Atlanta Braves, 7th (-)
66.50 pts, 32-32, 298 RS, 254 RA, 5th System (=)
9. St. Louis Cardinals, 8th (-)
66.00 pts, 38-27, 303 RS, 274 RA, 15th System (+)
10. Arizona Diamondbacks, 9th (-)
58.00 pts, 34-30, 306 RS, 270 RA, 26th System (=)
11. Florida Marlins, 10th (-)
57.50 pts, 34-29, 313 RS, 316 RA, 17th System (-)
12. Milwaukee Brewers, 16th (+)
55.00 pts, 33-30, 278 RS, 282 RA, 11th System (+)
13. New York Yankees, 17th (+)
50.50 pts, 32-32, 293 RS, 300 RA, 12th System (-)
14. Toronto Blue Jays, 13th (-)
47.00 pts, 33-33, 273 RS, 249 RA, 27th System (=)
15. Baltimore Orioles, 22nd (+)
46.50 pts, 31-31, 265 RS, 278 RA, 7th System (+)
16. Texas Rangers, 15th (-)
46.50 pts, 32-33, 361 RS, 380 RA, 2nd System (=)
17. Los Angeles Dodgers, 14th (-)
42.00 pts, 30-33, 273 RS, 260 RA, 14th System (=)
18. Houston Astros, 19th (+)
39.00 pts, 32-32, 288 RS, 302 RA, 30th System (=)
19. Cincinnati Reds, 20th (+)
37.50 pts, 31-34, 299 RS, 317 RA, 6th System (=)
20. New York Mets, 18th (-)
36.00 pts, 30-32, 290 RS, 288 RA, 28th System (=)
21. Pittsburgh Pirates, 23rd (+)
35.00 pts, 31-33, 309 RS, 3332 RA, 18th System (+)
22. Minnesota Twins, 12th (-)
35.00 pts, 31-33, 294 RS, 327 RA, 9th System (-)
23. Cleveland Indians, 21st (-)
35.00 pts, 29-35, 283 RS, 272 RA, 23rd System (-)
24. San Francisco Giants, 24th (=)
23.00 pts, 29-35, 262 RS, 290 RA, 20th System (=)
25. Detroit Tigers, 25th (=)
18.50 pts, 26-37, 293 RS, 320 RA, 25th System (=)
26. San Diego Padres, 30th (+)
18.00 pts, 28-37, 238 RS, 297 RA, 21st System (+)
27. Colorado Rockies, 29th (+)
17.50 pts, 24-39, 262 RS, 332 RA, 8th System (-)
28. Seattle Mariners, 27th (-)
17.00 pts, 23-41, 2256 RS, 319 RA, 10th System (=)
29. Kansas City Royals, 28th (-)
12.50 pts, 25-39, 237 RS, 302 RA, 22nd System (+)
30. Washington Nationals, 26th (-)
11.50 pts, 25-40, 235 RS, 317 RA, 19th System (-)
Breakdown
The Red Sox re-take the top spot; they leap frogged over the Cubs. The only whole the Cubs have at this point is their system. They lack a true top prospect, and they don’t have anyone who could make an impact in the top levels.
The Orioles are the big gainers this week; they moved up 7 spots. All 5 teams in the AL East are in the top half of the rankings (although 3 of them are 13-15).
The Twins took the biggest drop, moving down 10 spots. Their fall in attributed to poor production from their hitters.
The Braves continue to underperform – the should have an additional 5 wins based off their run differential. In 1 run games this year, they are 3-17. The Angels are the Anti-Braves – they have 7 wins that should be losses.
The playoff teams based off record:
NL East – Phillies
NL Central – Cubs
NL West – Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card – Cardinals
AL East – Red Sox
AL Central – White Sox
AL West – Angels
AL Wild Card – Rays
The playoff teams based off run differential:
NL East – Phillies
NL Central – Cubs
NL West – Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card – Braves
AL East – Red Sox
AL Central – White Sox
AL West – Athletics
AL Wild Card – Rays
[To figure the pythagorean record, ask me in the comments or use this formula:
(RS^2)/(RS^2 + RA^2)]
I’ll be back next Tuesday with the updated rankings.
