Things are starting to settle in, as most pretenders are falling out of the races…
These aren’t your typical rankings; I look at record, run differential, and farm system. I weigh the scores on all 3; record makes up half the score, the run differential makes up a third of the score, and a sixth of the score is from farm system.
For Run Differential, I use the Pythagorean Theorem formulated by Bill James to see what a teams record should be; you can predict how well a team should be playing by this. In theory, a team should be in about the same range for their Pythagorean Record as their true record.
| Rank | Team | Record | Pythagorean | System | Total | Last Week | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | |
TB Rays | 29 | 29 | 28 | 58 | 1 |
| 2 | |
NY Yankees | 30 | 30 | 14 | 55 | 3 |
| 3 | |
Atlanta Braves | 28 | 24 | 29 | 54 | 2 |
| 4 | |
San Diego Padres | 27 | 27 | 9 | 48 | 4 |
| 5 | |
Boston Red Sox | 24 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 7 |
| 6 | |
Texas Rangers | 26 | 26 | 8 | 46 | 10 |
| 7 | |
STL Cardinals | 25 | 28 | 2 | 44 | 12 |
| 8 | |
San Francisco Giants | 22 | 25 | 13 | 43 | 11 |
| 9 | |
Cincinnati Reds | 21 | 22 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
| 10 | |
Chicago White Sox | 23 | 19 | 6 | 38 | 23 |
| 11 | |
Minnesota Twins | 18 | 21 | 16 | 37 | 5 |
| 12 | |
Colorado Rockies | 20 | 20 | 11 | 37 | 16 |
| 13 | |
LA Dodgers | 17 | 16 | 25 | 36 | 6 |
| 14 | |
Philadelphia Phillies | 15 | 17 | 12 | 30 | 13 |
| 15 | |
LA Angels | 16 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 15 |
| 16 | |
Toronto Blue Jays | 12 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 8 |
| 17 | |
Detroit Tigers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 28 | 18 |
| 18 | |
NY Mets | 14 | 18 | 5 | 28 | 14 |
| 19 | |
Florida Marlins | 11 | 14 | 21 | 27 | 17 |
| 20 | |
Oakland Athletics | 13 | 15 | 10 | 26 | 19 |
| 21 | |
Chicago Cubs | 9 | 10 | 22 | 23 | 20 |
| 22 | |
KC Royals | 7 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | |
Washington Nationals | 8 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 24 | |
Cleveland Indians | 6 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 25 | |
Milwaukee Brewers | 10 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 |
| 26 | |
Seattle Mariners | 4 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 27 |
| 27 | |
Houston Astros | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 28 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 29 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 29 |
| 30 | |
Baltimore Orioles | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 |
If the playoffs started today…
| Playoffs Based on Record | Playoffs Based of Run Differential | ||
| Division | Team | Division | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| AL East | Yankees | AL East | Yankees |
| AL Central | White Sox | AL Central | Twins |
| AL West | Rangers | AL West | Rangers |
| AL Wild Card | Rays | AL Wild Card | Rays |
| NL East | Braves | NL East | Braves |
| NL Central | Cardinals | NL Central | Cardinals |
| NL West | Padres | NL West | Padres |
| NL Wild Card | Giants | NL Wild Card | Giants |
