Things are starting to settle in, as most pretenders are falling out of the races…
These aren’t your typical rankings; I look at record, run differential, and farm system. I weigh the scores on all 3; record makes up half the score, the run differential makes up a third of the score, and a sixth of the score is from farm system.
For Run Differential, I use the Pythagorean Theorem formulated by Bill James to see what a teams record should be; you can predict how well a team should be playing by this. In theory, a team should be in about the same range for their Pythagorean Record as their true record.
Rank | Team | Record | Pythagorean | System | Total | Last Week | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB Rays | 29 | 29 | 28 | 58 | 1 | |
2 | NY Yankees | 30 | 30 | 14 | 55 | 3 | |
3 | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 24 | 29 | 54 | 2 | |
4 | San Diego Padres | 27 | 27 | 9 | 48 | 4 | |
5 | Boston Red Sox | 24 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 7 | |
6 | Texas Rangers | 26 | 26 | 8 | 46 | 10 | |
7 | STL Cardinals | 25 | 28 | 2 | 44 | 12 | |
8 | San Francisco Giants | 22 | 25 | 13 | 43 | 11 | |
9 | Cincinnati Reds | 21 | 22 | 17 | 41 | 9 | |
10 | Chicago White Sox | 23 | 19 | 6 | 38 | 23 | |
11 | Minnesota Twins | 18 | 21 | 16 | 37 | 5 | |
12 | Colorado Rockies | 20 | 20 | 11 | 37 | 16 | |
13 | LA Dodgers | 17 | 16 | 25 | 36 | 6 | |
14 | Philadelphia Phillies | 15 | 17 | 12 | 30 | 13 | |
15 | LA Angels | 16 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 15 | |
16 | Toronto Blue Jays | 12 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 8 | |
17 | Detroit Tigers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 28 | 18 | |
18 | NY Mets | 14 | 18 | 5 | 28 | 14 | |
19 | Florida Marlins | 11 | 14 | 21 | 27 | 17 | |
20 | Oakland Athletics | 13 | 15 | 10 | 26 | 19 | |
21 | Chicago Cubs | 9 | 10 | 22 | 23 | 20 | |
22 | KC Royals | 7 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 22 | |
23 | Washington Nationals | 8 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 21 | |
24 | Cleveland Indians | 6 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 25 | |
25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 10 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | |
26 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 27 | |
27 | Houston Astros | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 | |
28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 28 | |
29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 29 | |
30 | Baltimore Orioles | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | |
If the playoffs started today…
Playoffs Based on Record | Playoffs Based of Run Differential | ||
Division | Team | Division | Team |
---|---|---|---|
AL East | Yankees | AL East | Yankees |
AL Central | White Sox | AL Central | Twins |
AL West | Rangers | AL West | Rangers |
AL Wild Card | Rays | AL Wild Card | Rays |
NL East | Braves | NL East | Braves |
NL Central | Cardinals | NL Central | Cardinals |
NL West | Padres | NL West | Padres |
NL Wild Card | Giants | NL Wild Card | Giants |