Bettor Breakdown: UFC 121

With UFC 121 only a matter of hours away, most factors have been taken into consideration and there is no better time than now to make some bets, or predictions. There are no safe bets tonight; every fight is up for grabs as it’s title contention fights for some, or win-or-get-fired for others.

With a victory over Martin Kampmann, Jake Shields has the opportunity to fight for the UFC Welterweight Title. The hype leading up to Shields’ debut has been extremely downplayed and almost non-existent. Shields’ boring victory over Dan Henderson on CBS may have turned some people off to him immediately, but he still has a strong history of finishing his competition. Expect Shields to take an arm home with him Saturday night, submitting Kampmann in the second round with an arm bar.

While Jake Shields is only one fight away from becoming a number one contender, Tom Lawlor is essentially one fight away from kissing his job goodbye. The honest (and awesome) Lawlor admitted the fact on Inside MMA that if he suffers his third loss in a row tonight, he’s out of the UFC. Unfortunately for him, his opponent is Patrick Cote. Cote is coming off a loss against Belcher and is looking for redemption. Given the caliber of opponents Cote has defeated compared to the caliber Lawlor has all-around fought, I would have to give Cote the upperhand here. Sadly, I expect Lawlor to lose this fight.

In the main-event we have Brock Lesnar taking on Cain Velasquez. Cain Velasquez is stepping into the octagon with one of the baddest men on the planet, and I don’t even think he knows it. People seem to believe that Cain will be able to go five rounds with Brock due to his superb conditioning in his last few fights, especially in his fight against Kongo. We’re all missing one point: Cheick Kongo is not Brock Lesnar. Brock will be pressing from the first second of the fight, likely going for a takedown within the first minute. In order to maintain your energy, you need to be able to dictate the fight… and Brock will be the dictator. Brock Lesnar will control where the fight goes, and will end Cain’s run as #1 Contender in the second round by way of technical knockout.

Complete Predictions: Brock Lesnar (2nd Round TKO), Jake Shields (2nd Round armbar), Paulo Thiago (2nd Round Submission), Matt Hamill (3rd Round TKO), Brendan Schaub (1st Round KO), Court McGee (Decision) and Patrick Cote (2nd Round rear naked choke). (FOTN: Brock/Cain; KOTN: Schaub; SOTN: Jake Shields)

Tags: , , , , , ,