Welcome to SLICED SPREAD, the place on Inside Pulse Sports for weekly NFL picks against the spread, head to head survivor picks, and score prognostications.
With ten weeks in the books, I find myself at the crossroads of .500, with a season record of 72-72 against the spread.
Here’s to hoping that the last seven weeks of the season will prove positive, especially after last week’s heartbreaking head to head Survivor pick loss at the hands of the reinvigorated Dallas Cowboys.
Well, enough about that, and…
Onto the breakdown!
SLICED SPREAD: NFL WEEK 10 BREAKDOWN
WEEK 10 ATS: 6-8
WEEK 10 LOCKS ATS: 2-1
WEEK 10 H2H SURVIVOR PICK: LOSS (Cowboys over Giants)
THIS SEASON ATS: 72-72
THIS SEASON LOCKS ATS: 14-16
H2H SURVIVOR TEAMS USED:
Tennessee (Week 1, Win)
Green Bay (Week 2, Win)
New England (Week 3, Win)
New Orleans (Week 4, Win)
Indianapolis (Week 5, Win)
Pittsburgh (Week 6, Win)
Baltimore (Week 7, Win)
Kansas City (Week 8, Win)
NY Jets (Week 9, Win)
NY Giants (Week 10, Loss)
SLICED SPREAD: NFL WEEK 11 PICKS
Home teams are shown in CAPS
Point spreads shown in ().
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Chicago (+1.5) over MIAMI – Tyler Thigpen, welcome to the national stage. Need I say more? Bears win 17-14
Washington (+7.5) over TENNESSEE – The Titans stumbled last week, and I have a feeling they won’t rebound completely. Redskins keep it close. Titans win 26-20
Arizona (+8.5) over KANSAS CITY – In a similar spot in Week 9, the Cardinals covered a big number against Minnesota on the road. I have a feeling the same thing will happen here. Chiefs win 28-23
*LOCK IT UP / H2H SURVIVOR PICK: DALLAS (-6.5) over Detroit – Last week, the Cowboys burned me and cost me a shot at a perfect Survivor Pick season. While the Cowboys looked like a refreshed and rejuvenated team, the Lions fell to the lowly Bills. I love Dallas in this spot, especially with Jon Kitna going against his former team and Jason Garrett getting his team back into the win column. Cowboys win 27-13
Buffalo (+5.5) over CINCINNATI – The Bills might be 1-8, but the Bengals are just a tad less pathetic at 2-7. I like the Bengals to win a close one. Bengals win 20-19
Green Bay (-2.5) over MINNESOTA – This could be Brett Favre’s very last stand against the Green Bay Packers. However, don’t forget that this is also likely the last time that the Packers will get a chance to stick it to the old man themselves. Oh, it’s personal, and Green Bay is clearly the better team during this last go-around. Packers win 31-27
Baltimore (-9.5) over CAROLINA – Carolina is not a good team, and the Ravens have had some extra time to stew over their loss to the Falcons. I like Baltimore in a blowout. Ravens win 28-9
Houston (+7.5) over NY JETS – The Texans got crushed by a Jacksonville Hail Mary TD pass last week, while the Jets escaped Cleveland with their second straight overtime road win. I sense another closely contested game for both teams when they collide this Sunday. Jets win 24-21
JACKSONVILLE (-1.5) over Cleveland – The Browns had a pretty good run at home until last week’s OT mind-boggler, and after last week I just can’t go against the Jaguars since the football gods are obviously smiling down upon them right now. Jaguars win 28-20
*LOCK IT UP: Oakland (+7.5) over PITTSBURGH – Did the Steelers get trounced last week or what? I just can’t believe this is the same team that started 4-0 without Big Ben, and the Raiders are starting to actually put together a Playoff-caliber season. I’m going to go out on a limb and call this one for the Raiders outright in a soul-crusher. Raiders win 28-27
Atlanta (-2.5) over ST. LOUIS – I have liked the Rams in many spots against the spread lately. However, this is not one of those times. The Falcons are coming off a huge win against Baltimore and will be well-rested by the time they arrive in St. Louis. Atlanta further cements their almost inevitable playoff spot with a huge win against a tough-at-home team. Falcons win 27-20
*LOCK IT UP: Tampa Bay (+3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO – I am just not sold on the Niners at all. As for the Bucs, I’m buying in. Bucs win 21-13
Seattle (+11.5) over NEW ORLEANS – That point spread feels like too much of an Albatross to me. Saints win 24-17
Indianapolis (+3.5) over NEW ENGLAND
– I know this game is in New England, but I still can’t ever go against the Colts against the spread as underdogs when Peyton Manning is behind Center. Head to head is another story. Patriots win 31-28
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
NY Giants (+3.5) over PHILADELPHIA – Even though Dallas blew the Giants out of the water and the Eagles crushed the Redskins last week in two division games that had video game like scores, I have a feeling that the Giants step up and reestablish themselves as serious NFC East contenders. Andy Reid has a habit of losing this type of game following a huge win, too. Giants win 30-28
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
Denver (+10.5) over SAN DIEGO – I guess I am just not buying the big spreads this week outside of the Baltimore-Carolina game. Chargers win, but not by 11 points. Chargers win 30-20
That’s it for this week’s edition of SLICED SPREAD.
See you next week – CB.
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