Alexander Gustafsson vs. Thiago Silva Fight Will Propel The Winner To The Top Tier of the Division (UFC on Fuel 2)

Thiago Silva and Alexander Gustafsson meet tomorrow in Sweden in what is the promotion’s debut in the country. For Gustafsson and Silva the fight comes at an interesting point in their careers that is remarkably similar. Both need this fight to get to the top tier of fighters in the division.

For Silva it’s his first fight after a suspension kept him out of a cage for over the past year. After a dominant victory over Brandon Vera changed to a no contest due to a drug test failure, with losses to Rashad Evans and Lyoto Machida marking an otherwise spotless record, Silva is fighting for only the third time since January of 2010. Before his suspension Silva was on the outside of the top five in the light heavyweight division, one of many fighters you could slot in at #s six through ten. Now he’s almost an afterthought, still a top talent but not quite what he was.

For Gustafsson it’s a homecoming as he headlines an event in his home country in his first main event ever. Outside of Phil Davis dominating him in Abu Dhabi the Swede is on an odd parallel to current light heavyweight champion Jon Jones. Improving steadily from one fight to the next, Gustafsson is an up and coming prospect many feel is only a fight or two away from challenging Jones for the title. He’s a top talent but not quite someone you could consider amongst the elite of the division yet.

Both fighters need this fight to get back to potential title contention.

Silva was one fight away from a title shot of his own when he was knocked out by Machida, who wound up knocking out Evans for the title. He put together a terrific third round after being dominated by Evans for the first, almost finishing the former champion. Without the shenanigans involving his urine sample against Brandon Vera he could’ve potentially fought Quinton Jackson for a title shot against Jon Jones, which was the rumor immediately after the fight. Silva is now an afterthought in the division and needs a win to get back on track. The light heavyweight division is no longer the revolving door it used to be on top and as such a win or two could get him one of the elite fighters in the division. A win over Gustafsson is something that can propel him to a fight with someone like Ryan Bader, with a title shot in his grasp sooner than later afterwards.

Gustafsson needs a top tier fighter on his record to have that final bonafide before he moves “into the mix” or a title shot eliminator fight. The Swede has finished all five of his opponents in the Octagon not named Phil Davis and is riding a four fight win streak coming into this fight. Outside of the Davis fight, which he was outclassed by the Penn State wrestler, Gustafsson has looked as good as his reputation has dictated. The advancement of his takedown defense against Davis to someone like Matt Hamill, who has plenty of accolades on the mat of his own, was noticeable and he appears to have shored up that glaring weakness in a wrestler heavy division. A win over Silva is the final pedigree before he gets someone like Bader or Shogun Rua in a title elimination fight. Gustafsson is on the cusp of being an elite fighter in the division and a quality win over Thiago Silva gets him there.

UFC on Fuel 2 might be the first venture into Sweden for the UFC but it’s a potential career-maker for Thiago Silva and Alexander Gustafsson. Both fighters need a victory here to get to that next tier, where very good becomes elite.

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