This will be short and sweet… Julio Cesar Chavez, Jr. (46-1-1) is too big and good for Brian Vera (23-6). That was true if the fight was being held in both fighters’ traditional division, middleweight. However, this fight is a light heavyweight fight with Chavez, Jr. weighing 172.4 pounds (after spending late Thursday night working out and a good part of Friday morning in a sauna) and Vera weighing 171 pounds (after eating both breakfast and lunch which is highly unusual). It is obvious that Vera trained to make the original 168 pound limit and Chavez, Jr. did not. When the bell rings to start the bout, the “Son of the Legend” could weigh as much as 195 pounds while Vera will probably be 180 pounds.
If you add a functional 15 pound weight advantage to Chavez, Jr.’s advantages in punching power and offensive skill, it is easy to see why Chavez, Jr. is listed by Bovada as a 6 to 1 favorite. Vera’s best chance is to win the early rounds and try to sneak out a decision over the course of 10 rounds. That said, the fight is in Southern California where Chavez, Jr. should enjoy the support of the crowd and is being promoted by Chavez, Jr.’s promoter. That is not a recipe for getting an upset decision. Its not happening… Chavez, Jr. is the pick.
In addition to airing Chavez, Jr. – Vera, HBO will show a very interesting fight for the light heavyweight championship. Adonis Stevenson (21-1), the murderous southpaw puncher who gained acclaim with his 70 second erasing of former champion Chad Dawson, will defend the championship in his hometown of Montreal, Canada against former 175 pound title holder Tavoris Cloud (26-1). It is an interesting match because Cloud is thought to have an iron chin. Also, Stevenson does not have an iron chin (he was knocked out by journeyman Darnell Boone) and Cloud is a heavy handed pressure fighter. Bovada lists Stevenson as a 3 to 1 favorite probably because Cloud is coming off his first loss to 47 year old Bernard Hopkins. Cloud is no defensive wizard and it is just a matter of time before Stevenson lands his money punch. Even if he doesn’t, Cloud showed in his gift-decision win over Gabriel Campillo that he has trouble with southpaw boxers so Stevenson should have the advantage if the fight goes to the cards. Stevenson is the pick.
Author’s Record for the Year: 55-19-5 (The Mayweather-Canelo pay per view was profitable for your author. Despite Danny Garcia’s unexpected upset over Lucas Matthysse and CJ Ross’ atrocious scorecard, your author scored four big wins including the proposition bet of Mayweather -9.5 points on all scorecards [he won by 10].)