IP Sports Baseball Rankings: 05/14/2010

Power Rankings

2 surprises in the top 10 this week, along with the same ol’ top 3…

These aren’t your typical rankings; I look at record, run differential, and farm system. I weigh the scores on all 3; record makes up half the score, the run differential makes up a third of the score, and a sixth of the score is from farm system.

For Run Differential, I use the Pythagorean Theorem formulated by Bill James to see what a teams record should be; you can predict how well a team should be playing by this. In theory, a team should be in about the same range for their Pythagorean Record as their true record.

Rank Team Record Pythagorean System Total Last Week
1 TB Rays 30 30 27 59 1
The Rays are looking like a juggernaut; will they be able to hang on as the season progresses?
2 NY Yankees 29 29 9 51 2
No matter what the Yankees do, they can’t catch the Rays.
3 Minnesota Twins 28 27 14 51 3
Written off after Joe Nathan’s injury, the Twins are owning the AL Central
4 San Diego Padres 27 28 2 46 4
The biggest surprise of the season is still hanging on; now with the best record in the NL.
5 Philadelphia Phillies 26 26 4 45 5
This team looks good, even with missing former MVP Jimmy Rollins.
6 STL Cardinals 25 24 8 44 6
A bad sweep at the hands of the Astros; Brendan Ryan is not an everyday player.
7 Texas Rangers 24 23 13 44 7
The Rangers are starting to pull away from the pack; young pitcher Derek Holland is back in the rotation.
8 Toronto Blue Jays 20 20 24 41 8
The Blue Jays have to be considering a promotion for Brett Wallace, especially with Lyle Overbay struggling.
9 Detroit Tigers 23 17 15 39 9
Detroit holds a strong second at this point, but can’t gain ground on the Twins.
10 Cincinnati Reds 21 13 28 39 10
Making a push for first; half a game back of the Cardinals.
11 San Francisco Giants 19 25 1 36 11
The Giants are considering using Aubrey Huff in the outfield so they can promote Buster Posey.
12 NY Mets 18 21 12 36 12
The Mets are slowing after a strong string of games; it’s very possible to catch Washington for second.
13 Washington Nationals 22 11 19 36 13
Their run differential shows they aren’t this good; that should change once Strasburg and Storen get promoted in June.
14 Florida Marlins 14 18 25 34 14
Daniels predicted that the Marlins would show signs of playing at an empty house; it appears that is so.
15 Boston Red Sox 16 12 29 34 15
While the BoSox are looking better than a few weeks ago, they still have a long way to go.
16 Atlanta Braves 12 19 26 33 16
Troy Glaus has turned it on, but the rest of the team is still struggling; especially Nate McLouth.
17 LA Dodgers 15 16 20 32 17
Andre Ethier is setting the world on fire right now; unfortunately the pitching isn’t.
18 Oakland Athletics 17 14 11 30 18
The A’s are slowly dropping behind the Rangers; still in a solid second.
19 Colorado Rockies 13 22 3 29 19
The Rockies always start slow; can they continue the trend of second half turn-arounds?
20 Milwaukee Brewers 11 15 6 23 20
The Starting Pitching is very Jeckyll and Hyde; they need more out of the bullpen too.
21 Chicago Cubs 10 10 18 23 21
Can Starlin Castro turn the team around or has he been rushed like Corey Patterson and Felix Pie?
22 Cleveland Indians 6 6 23 18 22
Grady Sizemore – Where are you?
23 LA Angels 9 4 17 17 23
While we predicted that they weren’t going to be as good as the past few years, we didn’t expect them to be this bad.
24 Seattle Mariners 4 8 21 16 24
Griffey was sleeping in the clubhouse; the rest of the teams been sleeping in the dugout.
25 Chicago White Sox 8 9 5 16 25
Like their cross-town partners, they have been playing beneath their abilities.
26 KC Royals 2 5 30 15 26
New manager; probably same results.
27 Pittsburgh Pirates 7 1 16 13 27
The Pirates can’t score and can’t stop teams from scoring, yet they aren’t the worst team in their division.
28 Arizona Diamondbacks 5 7 10 13 28
Kelly Johnson is cooling off after a hot start; he’s starting to fit in with the rest of the team.
29 Houston Astros 3 2 22 12 29
4-2 vs the Cardinals this season; 9-19 vs everyone else.
30 Baltimore Orioles 1 3 7 5 30
Only 1 game separates the Orioles and Royals; pretty good after only winning 2 games in the first few weeks.

If the playoffs started today…

Playoffs Based on Record Playoffs Based of Run Differential
Division Team Division Team
AL East Rays AL East Rays
AL Central Twins AL Central Twins
AL West Rangers AL West Rangers
AL Wild Card Yankees AL Wild Card Yankees
NL East Phillies NL East Phillies
NL Central Cardinals NL Central Cardinals
NL West Padres NL West Padres
NL Wild Card Nationals NL Wild Card Giants

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